The US dollar itself continues to display a degree of quiet resilience; XAUUSD remains trapped near the $4,700 area; EURUSD is similarly lacking a clear direction; Bitcoin remains close to the $79,600 area.
- The USD is likely to retain underlying support as long as inflation risks remain elevated.
- Meanwhile, XAUUSD is effectively marking time.
- Should the greenback maintain its present support, EURUSD may gradually edge lower.
- Bitcoin continues to trade in what might best be described as a holding pattern.
Today’s focus
| US Initial Jobless Claims due at 15:30 MT time |
FX snapshot
XAUUSD
At present, gold appears to require a fresh catalyst: either a renewed weakness in the USD or a more serious deterioration in the geopolitical backdrop. In the absence of either, the metal may continue drifting sideways.
EURUSD
The euro itself does not appear especially weak; however, the greenback currently gains the upper hand due to the interest-rate dynamics and persistent inflation concerns.
BTC
Should the USD soften and the risk-appetite return, Bitcoin may attempt another move higher. However, if none occurs, a consolidation within the current range may continue.
| Pair | Key support | Key resistance | Bias |
| XAUUSD | 4,680 | 4,720 | Consolidating |
| EURUSD | 1.17000 | 1.17200 | Bearish |
| BTC | 79,000 | 80,000 | Consolidating |
Market sentiment
This morning’s session is unfolding in an atmosphere of near-total pause. Markets are neither meaningfully declining nor advancing. The broader market focus lies on the Trump – Xi meeting results. Markets currently don’t trade any trend; they are waiting for uncertainty to be resolved.